News of the Day III

[Bolthed]

Welcome back, news threaders!

Here’s a story about demographics that’ll make Pete and others happy to read.

[pete]

Welcome back, news threaders!

Here’s a story about demographics that’ll make Pete and others happy to read.

Not before there's a GOP civil war after the election if they lose and lose badly.

[Puckhead]

I'm heartened by reporting that Arizona and Florida both seem able to report results on Tuesday night, including the mail-in ballots. We know if Biden takes both those states, or is even close, it bodes poorly for Trump in PA, MI, WI, MN. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...es/3623320001/

[Bolthed]

This had better be a landslide that also flips the Senate by more than a couple of seats. NPR had a Yale Law professor on this morning, and let’s just say I went down a rabbit hole about all of the ways in which Trump and the GOP could screw with the electors in the electoral college and create havoc with litigation leading to ... you guessed it, a Supreme Court case.

[pete]

Ohio also reports its results fairly quickly. Plouffe was on MSNBC last night and said if either state calls for Biden on election night we can go to bed knowing Trump is toast.

First day early voting in Georgia was up 41% from 2016. I did mine today on the second day. Today was also the first day of early voting in Texas and anecdotally there was a similar surge. Also, the three biggest Democratic counties in Texas have had a massive voter registration surge. 97% of Travis County (Austin), for instance, is now registered to vote.

[Puckhead]

The long, multi hour lines of early voters all over the country is proof positive of the point that there is little, if any, complacency in the electorate. Indeed, D’s will “crawl over broken glass” to make sure that the grabber is sent packing. It will be interesting to see what the % of eligible Gen Z kids vote.

[Donnie D]

My ballot has been accepted and tabulated.

[pete]

The long, multi hour lines of early voters all over the country is proof positive of the point that there is little, if any, complacency in the electorate. Indeed, D’s will “crawl over broken glass” to make sure that the grabber is sent packing. It will be interesting to see what the % of eligible Gen Z kids vote.

The danger for the GOP that may manifest itself by the end of this election cycle is that the Democrats look on track to bank most of their vote over the next couple of weeks in a very high turnout environment between early and mail-in voting and the Republicans don't have a surge in intensity in Election Day vote to match it as it becomes clearer and clearer he's about to lose by double digits. If the bottom falls out like that for Trump, the asymmetry between how the two parties are planning to bank their vote could lead to a late shift of another few percentage points that is unlikely to be picked up in the polls, IMO.

If this were a stupid-close election I might be sweating this methodological gap for Democrats because there's a higher likelihood of mail ballots being thrown out that would need to be litigated through the courts. But this doesn't look like a stupid-close election now with Biden leading by 10.6% at this moment in the polls and banking votes like a mad man while we're in this environment where he leads by double digits nationally, and Republicans should be sweating the scenario where Democrats are demonstrably getting huge turnout and there's no guarantees that rural and exurban America will show up for Trump with the same intensity and deliver big margins on election day. Case in point:

[pete]

I am efforting with Tim to see if there's a plug in to display Tweets on this new bad boy MB.

[pete]

Another swing and miss for old DubDub and his crew of mouthbreathers.

[pete]

Also, in Nevada, there is the first confirmed case of someone re-contracting COVID after having survived it the first time through.

[pete]

DubDub and Pam Bondi are the same person. Dumbasses.

[ChaseSpace]

Pretty sure there were more people in the Women's March than all of the Trump boat parades combined. Why are they discounting those demonstrations?

These sycophants are sad.

[Flycoon]

I am efforting with Tim to see if there's a plug in to display Tweets on this new bad boy MB.

I
i would like to see new posts and first unread within thread.

[Flycoon]

Pretty sure there were more people in the Women's March than all of the Trump boat parades combined. Why are they discounting those demonstrations?

These sycophants are sad.

They were women.