News of the Day III

[ChaseSpace]

Today Biden introduced a $775 billion dollar plan to help provide child care and help the elderly

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/biden-to-unveil-775-billion-plan-for-universal-preschool-child-care-and-elder-care/2020/07/20/e273dabc-cae7-11ea-91f1-28aca4d833a0_story.html?fbclid=IwAR03kCMze2NgBSbatXvnKjHhtxNRkPdA0EV6rp2v3T4TqOWY7xjX4Je6AWA

Obviously that's great and better than what we have now, but doesn't go nearly far enough. We need child care and/or early education from birth. Invest in children as early as possible.

That won't do, life only matters from the moment sperm hits the egg until a baby actually comes out don't you know?

[pete]

#OH01 GE:
Steve Chabot (R-inc) 48% (+2)
Kate Schroder (D) 46%
.
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%

GQR Research/
@KateForCongress
(D) Internal Poll 6/29-7/2

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1285914152800854016?s=20

Suburban Cincinnati. It was a Trump +6 district in 2016. So Biden is running 11% ahead of Clinton's showing. Suburbs. Open revolt. You know the story.

[nutznboltz]

That won't do, life only matters from the moment sperm hits the egg until a baby actually comes out don't you know?

I saw a tweet earlier, saying Republicans only care for you if you are a fetus or a Confederate statue

[pete]

*As long as said fetus doesn't need affordable prenatal health care.

[pete]

National GE:
Biden 46% (+8)
Trump 38%

@Reuters
/
@Ipsos
7/15-21

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1285912464631255040?s=20

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll/biden-leading-trump-by-eight-points-also-has-a-big-advantage-with-undecided-voters-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKCN24N1AY

They didn't push leaners, which split 3:2 to Biden. So, you've got about 6% of the two-party vote that are probably your "shy Trump" voters and the other 10% lean toward Biden. It fits with the notion Trump's support is capped somewhere in the 44-46% range (and that roughly 55% of the electorate are pretty set on not voting for Trump).

[ChaseSpace]

*As long as said fetus doesn't need affordable prenatal health care.

In this scenario it's the fault of the mother because why choose to get pregnant when you're poor and can't afford a baby? Who cares that they can't afford proper birth control, were never taught proper sex ed, or were potentially impregnated from a rape?

And why allow that mother-to-be to terminate that pregnancy for a cheaper price than half a years worth of diapers? Allowing that infringes MY rights as an Evangelical Christian(TM) and it will also rob me the opportunity to call her a welfare queen at a later date.

-Cult45 Member

[pete]

NEWS: Trump says he's announcing a "surge" of federal law enforcement agents into US cities, including Chicago and "other cities." He named Albuquerque as well.

https://twitter.com/meredithllee/status/1286030252603580417?s=20

They're calling it Operation Legend...

...because Operation Himmler was already taken.

[pete]

From what I can, there have been 7 Dem House internal polls taken & released this month. 5 of 7 (71%) have included a prez race question. Meanwhile, 8 GOP house internal polls taken & released this month. 3 of 8 (38%) included a prez race question. (1/?)

In the Dems, Biden is outrunning Clinton by an average of 11 pts. In the GOP seats, Biden is outrunning Clinton by an average of 4 pts. Assuming a 3-4 pt house effect for when a side releases, the two are consistent. With Biden outrunning Clinton by 7 to 8 pts. (2/?)

It's also consistent with a Biden advantage nationally of 9 or 10 points... which incidentally is about where the polls have it... So it would seem to me, the parties are likely seeing in their polling what we're generally seeing in the public polling.

Side note: The GOP hadn't been releasing any polling, so it's interesting this month that they have... Even so, their polling releases are generally consistent with what the public polling is showing on the prez side.

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1286069208372191233?s=20

[pete]

New TX @QuinnipiacPoll
: Biden 45, Trump 44

Big difference from 2016: in this poll, Trump leads TX's college+ whites 49-42.

In 2016, by my estimates, Trump carried them 61-33.

This is a massive suburban defection.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1285998498111004673?s=20

Ya think?

[Donnie D]

https://twitter.com/meredithllee/sta...603580417?s=20

They're calling it Operation Legend...

...because Operation Himmler was already taken.

They are doing this with the consent of the 2 mayors and will be working in coordination with the cities.

[Donnie D]

The only area where Biden is underperforming Clinton is with Hispanic voters. He’s 10 points behind Obama and 5 behind Clinton.

[pete]

They are doing this with the consent of the 2 mayors and will be working in coordination with the cities.

They're claiming this will be different than the camouflaged paramilitary stormtroopers they've sent into Portland. You'll forgive me if I don't believe the Trump administration after watching them tear gas priests and pregnant mothers.

[pete]

They are doing this with the consent of the 2 mayors and will be working in coordination with the cities.

Just keep in mind that Latino voters are notoriously difficult to poll and often undersampled. I would wait to see what a pollster that has special skills with that type of polling, like Latino Decisions, has to say before I go all in on that narrative.

This @YouGov
poll looks consistent with our latest LD polls showing Trump in the low 20s. The story of this election is Black, Latino, AAPI voters driving the @JoeBiden
lead

Clinton won Hispanics 66-28 in the 2016 exits (+38). YouGov, which LatinoDecisions says is close to their polling, has Biden +39 with Latinos.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls

There's also no way Biden's only at 78% with African Americans, gaffes or not.

[pete]

1,200+ COVID deaths today and over 71,000 new cases.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

And just looking at the numbers the past few days, is India about to be in a lot of trouble?

[Puckhead]

Given their super dense living situations and their struggling healthcare system, it's amazing to me that they are not topping all the bad Covid graphs. What they've been able to do thus far in a positive way, is remarkable.